Roulette Software – Can You Win Using It?

Roulette is a mathematically perfect game. It is important that anyone playing the game remembers that. Roulette systems and scams have been present almost as long as the game itself, and the roulette wheel has seen them all off. Unlike games like blackjack where casinos can alter the rules by bringing in more decks or introducing the shuffle earlier, roulette is purely you against the ball and wheel, with 37 or 38 possible outcomes each spin depending on the type of roulette wheel you are playing at. The casinos don’t need to change anything.

The latest craze is roulette software. The advent of online casinos has seen the availability of roulette only a click away. This availability has led to a new wave of scams, software that can predict where the ball will finish. These programmes rely on nothing more than the same principle than a human being does when viewing the past numbers that a roulette wheel has generated. You enter the last number drawn and the software calculates where to place your bet. This will be based on number patterns of how the previous roulette spins happened nothing else.

Online casino roulette is driven by a RNG, random number generator. By law these have to meet two criteria, each number must have an equal chance of being drawn randomly and each number must be drawn independently of every other number picked. As an example if a RNG was set to draw the numbers 1,2 and 3 and the first two numbers out were 1 and 2, the next number must be 3? Rule one, each number must have the same chance of being chosen, rule 2 the previous draws do not have a bearing on the next number drawn. That way we can never know what the next number will be.

As a professional gambler who has tried many roulette systems, including software, the likelihood of any software beating the casino is very rare. If it did the casinos would soon go bust, change the game or even remove it all together.

Do not be scammed by sales copy. Learn more about roulette and scam systems at the site in my author bio. If you know anyone who enjoys roulette particularly online please recommend this article.

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The Secrets of Martingale Systems

Pssst…! Wanna know a secret?

How about the secret of Martingale systems?

Most people do not care for most Martingale systems. They are simple systems, and ask you to double your bet every time you lose. This way, the theory goes, you will eventually recoup your loses when you win. If, for example, you are playing on the pass line with a $10 bet and big red rears his ugly head, your next pass line bet would be for $20. If you lose again, the next one would be for $40, then $80, then $160, then $320. If the table has a $500 limit (done to discourage Martingales), you have to stop and take a $320 loss.

Wanna know the secrets that craps pros use to win using Martingale systems?

Let’s find out!

Craps pros win using this method by playing at a casino with no table limits or, try a modified Martingale system, two of which are described below.

The first is a Dont-Pass system. You bet one unit on the Dont-Pass and, instead of doubling when losing, increase your bet by one unit only. Then, when you win, start decreasing your bets by one unit until you are back at one unit again. For example, if you lose the first two Dont-Pass bets, your third bet on the come-out would be for three units. If you win, the next bet would be for two units. Then one unit. If you win again, stay at one unit until you lose again.

A more interesting system is to bet on the field, again starting with one unit and increasing your bets by one unit when you lose. The interesting part here is that you will eventually win on a 2 or 12 which pays at least double.

The advantage to using these modified Martingales is that you will be ahead, eventually, instead of breaking even. If, for example, your unit is $10 and you lose your first four bets, you will be down $100 ($10 + $20 + $30 + $40). Your fifth bet will be for $50, and if you win, you are now down only $50. If you win the next four bets, ($10 + $20 + $30 +40) you ll be ahead by $50! And if you are betting on the field and happen to hit a 2 or 12, you will be even more ahead!

If you are betting on the field, try waiting until a seven rolls and a point is established before you start betting. Then, make bets for the next four rolls only, or if the point is made. Then, wait for another seven and come-out, and start betting where you left off.

Try these systems out first online at a free site. (http://www.TheCrapShooter.com has a FREE craps game.) See how well they work! Then go to a casino with low table limits and try betting $1 units. When you win $20, increase your unit to $5. When you win $50, increase your bet to $10 and really make some money!

Pssst…! Now you know the secrets of Martingale systems!

(c) 2005 by Larry Edell

The Psychology Behind the Most Powerful Game Mechanics

REWARDS

In 1930, Burrhus Frederic Skinner, who was a psychologist at Harvard University, invented the Operant Conditioning Chamber, better known as the Skinner Box. This box was a chamber that had a lever a lever that an animal, usually a rat or a pigeon, can press down with the hope to obtain food or water as a reward. This reward is referred to as the “reinforcer.” The Box was used for a number of experiments, most of which revolved around finding the factors which caused the animal to pull the lever more or less often (called the “rate of response”).

Their conclusions have had a huge impact in a number of fields revolving around the motivation industry. This included fields such as motivation improvement, study of additions, conduct modification, employee’s engagement, game design and many others.

The most basic level of results showed the pigeons were more likely to push the lever more often when there was a 50% chance that they would receive a reward. What was strange was that this happened even more often than when they received one 100% of the times. This is called an intermittent reward schedule and it is one of the most powerful game mechanics used to engage players. They also found that the most effective reward schedule was a variable ratio reward schedule (where the result was 50% of the time, but they could possible get 3 rewards in a row and then nothing for 5 lever pushes) as opposed to a fixed ratio reward schedule (for example, where they would get a reward every 2 lever pushes no matter what).

Basically, the combination of unlocking the reward just 50% of the time together with not knowing exactly when the reward is going to be unlocked, inserts a level of randomness into the equation such that there could be many pulls of the lever with no payoff, but the average payoff is set and somehow can be intuited. This combination is irresistible and produces both the highest rate of responding and the greatest resistance to extinction.

So what does this mean for us? Animals (and humans) can be persuaded to perform an activity more often simply by giving us a chance of a reward instead of promising us a guaranteed reward. We tend to know this intuitively, which is why many people enjoy gambling.

Thousands of games use these principles. Slot machines will intermittently reward you with money, Farmville will randomly give you gifts (usually items to be used on your farm), and World of Warcraft mobs only drop the loot you need for quests some of the time and not all of the time.

LOSS AVERSION

Loss aversion is a behavioural characteristic of the human nature demonstrated by the psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman in 1979 as a part of their prospect theory). It describes how people are intrinsically afraid of losses when they choose between probabilistic alternatives that involve risk. Basically, instead of looking at the “big picture” or the final outcome, we look at each loss as its own event, which makes those losses irritate us more. We dislike losing more than we enjoy winning.

Prospect theory says that there are two stages in the decision process: editing and evaluating. During the editing part of the decision making process, people will look at their choices and then set a goal or reference point. Then, they will look at that point during every event; in relation to that reference point, they call the negative outcomes “losses” and the positive outcomes “gains.”

In the evaluation phase of decision, people will chose what they perceive to be the best option; this is usually the option with the most utility, which is based on the potential outcomes and their respective probabilities when it comes to obtaining that outcome. For example, let’s look at this: if someone gave you 2 options; the first one, you are given the offer of $50 with no stipulations. The second one gives you the chance of winning $100, just by flipping the coin. Which of them would you choose? Both options are mathematically equivalent, but most people would choose to get the $50.

Loss aversion is the most powerful game mechanic present in many games. For example, in FarmVille, you don’t return, your investments die and you will feel like you wasted your time and money. Loss aversion is also present in poker, when a player decides to bet less money that he should (based on his odds) just because he doesn’t want to risk all his chips and get knocked out of a tournament. The idea of losing everything has more weight than the potential amount that he could win on this particular hand.

ACHIEVEMENTS

Achievements are, in short, a representation of a specific accomplishment. In some cases, they will give you something that helps you progress in the game. In other cases, they’re just a great way for you to brag to your fellow gamers about your accomplishments. But why do people love achievements? How do they drag us even further into our virtual experience?

That’s where Abraham Maslow comes in. His research revolved around something that he called the “hierarchy of needs”.

The needs on Maslow’s hierarchy work from the bottom and go upward. The concept is, in short, that we have all of these needs in our lives. As life goes forward, the needs that we have become much more complex in nature and they also become much more difficult to attain. We feel accomplished when we ensure that these needs are taken care of; we feel as if we have achieved something in our lives.

Achievements are the 4th step of any individual’s needs. We like to feel as if we accomplished something. If you defeat a raid boss in World of Warcraft, you feel as if you have accomplished something, and it gives you a feeling of satisfaction and pride. But, what if you are a player that doesn’t raid? How can Blizzard help you to feel accomplished? The achievements that they provide give you little “bread crumbs” that tempt you to come back and achieve those things. Some of them may seem trivial; others are incredibly difficult. Either way, you feel as if you have accomplished something, and the need for esteem has been fulfilled by the achievement system.

So where do we see achievements?

In World of Warcraft, achievements give you something to strive for while questing and raiding, by asking you to do something differently than you would have; you accumulate points which you can show off to your fellow gamers. In the Pok√©mon series of games, you earn badges when you defeat gym trainers. Consoles like the Xbox have even put achievements into everything you do on your account, from playing particular games to performing certain actions while on the console. Achievements are everywhere, and they can bring a challenge to games that we wouldn’t have otherwise.

Free Betting – How To Bet Without Investing Own Money

It would be nice to bet without risking and investing your own money. You could try your luck with different betting systems and strategies. But is it really possible?

To get yourself free betting capital you can use bonus promotions and free bets offered by bookies. But downside to this is that you still need to deposit your own money to receive bonus and that means you will risk it too.

Of course it’s possible to find free bets with no deposit requirements. But these are very small – around $1. And what $1 is worth? That’s right, nothing! Minimal stake in most bookies is $0.5 or $1, that means you lose two times in a row and your “Bank” is gone. Everyone will understand that betting with $1 is not serious!

So we need to return to the first option – free bets and bonuses with deposit requirement. Actually it’s possible to safely extract these promotions with betting system called Matched Betting. You can find more about it by following link below in a resource box. It will eliminate any risk to lose money. By using this system it’s possible to clear many bonuses and free bets and in that way you can build yourself a betting capital without risking to lose anything. For example, you deposit $50 in a bookmaker and they give you $50 bonus. You use matched betting system and extract it safely. Now you have $50 to bet with. Original deposited money is available for withdraw at any time after promotion is cleared. You can extract multiple bonuses and build yourself even bigger betting bank.

This is the only way to get real starting bank for online betting. Maybe you can find some bookmakers which will offer you to punt with play or some pseudo money. But betting without real money is like having sex with rubber doll.

How To Win The Football Pools – Use A Syndicate

Using a football pools syndicate offers many advantages, including better coverage of the coupon, lower risk and a higher bank, which all add up to a better chance of winning the football pools. Sure, your winnings will have to be split, but there is a much better chance of winning in the first place.

There are other benefits too, depending on the way your syndicate will work. For example, will you meet in the pub every week to hammer out your list of selections? This can be a lot of fun, but the ultimate reason for running a syndicate has to be the improved odds you achieve using bigger plans/perms, especially when coupled with an effective proven system for producing match forecasts. There can be difficulties too, which need to be planned for. Without a good setup agreement, you could end up losing money and friends with a football pools syndicate.

The basics of running a syndicate involve two main roles: that of banker and that of forecast manager. It also requires a clear agreement, preferably written and signed by each member.

Banker

The role of the banker is to collect the subscriptions (usually weekly) from the syndicate members, and to manage the syndicate’s bank. The bank really could be a bank account, or it could be a tin box. Bank accounts are better, though there could be costs involved in running it. In the UK, the days when pools stakes were paid in cash to local agents are disappearing fast, now that online staking leads the way. So, the banker will usually need access to a credit or debit card to pay the stake over. Many pools companies make this easy, offering staking accounts which can be topped up. Some even offer staking credits from time to time.

Problems can arise when members are late paying their subs. If they haven’t paid on a particular week, then should they get a share of the winnings if there is a win that week? Who funds the shortfall in the stake?

Forecast Manager

This lucky person is responsible for preparing and submitting the pools entry. It will involve knowledge about perms and plans. Will the syndicate use the same perm every week? Who keeps any results data up to date? Usually the forecast manager. It may involve a meeting at the pub to agree the list with the other syndicate members, or it could be the manager who does the work, which could be a few hours a week. If you are serious about winning at all, even regularly, then you should be using a prediction system which works with the statistics of football results (and these are usually fairly reliable) to produce your match forecasts and final list of football results predictions for your syndicate’s entry. Many office syndicates just back the same numbers every week. This is a waste of time and money.

In many syndicates, the two roles are filled by the same person.

Syndicate Agreement

This is the key to a successful syndicate (beyond the obvious need to produce winning forecasts)! A written agreement is best. It’s like a pre-nuptial – prepare well, just in case things go wrong. Items you need to consider include:

– who will be the banker and who will be the forecast manager?

– what happens if a member does not pay up?

– does he/she still get a winning share that week if they haven’t paid?

– will you publicize your win (some people like publicity, some do not)

– can someone pay more and have a higher share of any winnings?

– what is the target stake level?

– who collects the money, when is the cut off time for subscriptions?

– will the banker keep a float to cover holidays and missed payments?

– what happens if the banker is ill?

– will you use a proven winning football pools system?

Get the basics right, use a good system for preparing selections, and you will be off to a flying start!

(c) Phil Marks 2011