A Beginner’s Guide to Tennis Betting

Tennis is currently enjoying unparalled growth around the world as both a participant and spectator sport. Particularly in the former Eastern European communist states, tennis has become the sport of choice for a whole generation of young sports enthusiasts.

Despite its increasing popularity around the world, tennis does not enjoy a high profile as a betting sport. Whilst many people associate sports betting with horseracing and football, the fact of the matter is that tennis is arguably one of the best sports in the world to bet on.

If you consider yourself to be something of a tennis expert and are interested in finding how you can convert your knowledge into dividends in the tennis betting markets, then you need look no further than the following basic guide to tennis betting.

o Match Betting is the most basic betting option available in tennis, and placing a match bet couldn’t be easier. Simply pick the winner in any given match. If your prediction is correct you’ll get paid out the odds on your bet.

Tennis match betting slips are easy to make sense of: the slip will feature the name of each player (or players in doubles), and all you have to do is check the box beside your chosen player’s name.

o There are usually several other betting opportunities available in any tennis match. A popular option is the handicap bet which works in much the same way as a match bet. The difference is that you can choose between a bet which deducts games from the stronger player’s final score, or a bet which adds games to the weaker player’s final score.

Handicap betting makes a contest more even from a betting point of view, but generally offers lower odds.

o Set betting allows you to bet on the final score of a tennis match by sets. You can bet on any variation of the balance of sets won in any match, and this betting option carries some good odds.

o A simple variation on set betting is betting on the winner of a specific set . Whether it’s the first or third set, the bet works in the same way as a matched bet – simply pick the player you think will win the set in question.

o If you’re feeling ambitious and are interested in high odds stakes, you can explore several other interesting tennis betting options. These include correctly predicting the number of games in a match . Each bookmaker usually offers its own special bets to spice up your experience of tennis betting.

o Last but not least, betting on an outright winner is a very popular tennis betting option. Like most tennis bets this is very simple, all you have to do is select the player you think will win any given tournament. Odds tend to be highest before the tournament begins, and will decrease during the course of the tournament as players are eliminated.

Now that you have a grip on the basics of tennis betting, you’ll be able to add to the excitement of world class tennis by backing your favourite players in the betting markets. This means the next time your favourite player wins on the court, you too could win in the betting markets.

Most Popular Pairs For Pick 3 Lotto

Before I begin, let me say that the true answer to that questions varies from state to state in short-term trends. But I want explore a method for selecting pick 3 pairs using simple math. You might just be surprised at the results. Let’s see how we can put our pairs together.

We know that the pick 3 lotto has 3 pools of 10 balls numbered 0 through 9. This means that using each number only once in a pair, the lowest possible sum of any 2 digits is 1 (0+1), and the highest possible sum of any 2 digits is 17 (8+9). Using the illustration below, you can see the number of possible pairs for each sum is given.

1 – 1 (0-1)

2 – 1 (0-2)

3 – (1-2, 0-3)

4 – (0-4, 1-3)

5 – (0-5, 1-4, 2-3)

6 – (0-6, 1-5, 2-4)

7 – (0-7, 1-6, 2-5, 3-4)

8 – (0-8, 1-7, 2-6, 3-5)

9 – (0-9, 1-8, 2-7, 3-6, 4-5)

10 – (1-9, 2-8,3-7,4-6)

11 – (2-9, 3-8, 4-7, 5-6)

12 – (3-9, 4-8, 5-7)

13 – (4-9, 5-8, 6-7)

14 – (5-9, 6-8)

15 – (6-9, 7-8)

16 – (7-9)

17 – (8-9)

Notice the sum of 9 has five pairs, while all other sums have only four or fewer pairs? This means that any two digits in the pick 3 drawing should equal 9 more than any other sum.

Using the 9 sum pairs (0-9, 1-8, 2-7, 3-6, 4-5) gives you a great starting point to create your winning combinations. While you still must select a third number, there are certain trends such as the neighbors trend to help you out.

The neighbors trend is that most draws contain at least one adjoining (neighboring) number. For example, a draw of 1-4-2 where the 1 and the 2 are neighbors. Now let’s see what our five 9 sum pairs look like with adjoining numbers.

The 0-9 pair would be played as box combinations like this: 0-9-1 and 0-9-8. Whereas the 1 neighbors the 0 and the 8 neighbors the 9.

The 1-8 pair would be played as box combinations like this: 1-8-2, 1-8-9, 1-8-0, 1-8-7. Whereas the 2 neighbors the 1, the 9 neighbors the 8, the 0 neighbors the 1 and the 7 neighbors the 8.

Just do the same for each 9 sum pair and you will end up with a list of combinations to play as boxed wagers. Good luck and always remember, never play more than you can afford to lose.

Hot For Trading

At one of the websites I frequent, someone recently asked “Isn’t trading exciting?” As someone who has been trading for 18 years, I thought I’d share my perspective.

Good trading in stocks, futures, forex or options, whether it is long term or short, should be pretty boring. If it is “exciting,” my guess is that it is stimulating your brain in a manner similar to gambling, which for traders who want long term success is VERY bad. As casinos will tell you, when people get excited while gambling, they tend to make poor decisions. The same holds true with trading.

My personal experience is that if I find myself counting dollars in an open trade, or getting anxious, nervous or excited while trading, I’m usually getting close to being in trouble. For me, this means I am more likely to ignore my mechanical (hands off) systems and take matters into my own hands, which is almost always bad. My best trading decisions are made not in the heat of the monet, but rather when the markets are closed. I suspect most other good traders are like this, too.

I find the exciting part of trading is the “thrill of the chase,” that is, finding a system or idea that works well, that I want to put into live trading. Since it takes me about 100-200 different trading ideas before I find a truly tradable system, and usually that process takes 2-12 months per system, you can probably guess why I get excited when I find something new.

I liken good trading to running a marathon – I have finished 5 of them – where the exciting part is the training, anxiously waiting at the starting line, and the starter’s gun going off (If you ran the Los Angeles Marathon in the 1990’s like me, the runner’s chants of “Ali! Ali!” for Muhammad Ali, who would wave from the elevated starting line box, was so exciting it gave me chills). The race itself, and actually finishing, isn’t as exciting. It is actually a little boring.

As a recent trading example, I was really excited as I got closer to releasing my latest trading system. I was excited to see how it would perform in real time, with real money on the line. But, after a few weeks of real time, real money trading, to me it is not “exciting” anymore, even though it is performing very well, as I expected.

Maybe I’m in the minority here, but good trading is boring. So, while trading with real money, I like boring!

NFL Situation Spotlight #25 – Red Zone Conversion

Red Zone Conversion percentage is one of those basic-box score stats that has been around for so long, it’s easy to overlook it in today’s 12-15 page NFL Gamebooks. It’s a deceptively simple, yet powerful statistic–teams that consistently convert Red Zone drives into touchdowns are the same teams that win games, and cover spreads. Teams with strong rushing games and tall, athletic receivers usually do well in the Red Zone, while teams that have trouble pounding the ball up the middle and don’t have the corners of the end-zone staked out will be kicking field-goals more often than not.

The fact that a high RZC% has a direct correlation with both SU and ATS wins should come as no surprise to even the casual fan. What is more interesting; however, is that RZC% also serves as an excellent tool in the prediction of future outcomes when used appropriately.

The power of RZC% as a handicapping tool truly becomes apparent when we compare how well one team has performed in the Red Zone while on offense, season-to-date, against the percentage that their upcoming opponent has surrendered scores in the Red Zone over the same time period. I actually analyze match-ups of opposing offensive and defensive units in many different areas and for many situations to determine if one team has an advantage (AD for short) over the other that can be significant enough to affect the end result versus the spread.

Before we can determine which team may or may not have an advantage, we need to know the league average for the statistic in question. In this case, the league average for converting drives that enter the Red Zone into touchdowns is roughly 50%. Therefore, if Team A were to have a RZC% For (Offense) of 55%, and Team B was to have a RZC% Against (Defense) of 60%, this would effectively give Team A a RZC%F AD of +15%. The formula would be:

(Team A’s RZC%F – League Average) – (League Average – Team B’s RZC%A)

Which gives us: (55 – 50) – (50 – 60) = +15%.

When we combine Team A’s better-than-average results in the Red Zone (+5%), plus, Team B’s worse-than-average ability to defend in the Red Zone (-10%), Team A ends up with a distinct advantage that they may be able to exploit if the two were to meet head-to-head.

And that is where Situation #25 fits in. The premise is this: Since 2002, teams that have a RZC%F AD of > 7.5 are an awesome 161-98 (62.2%) ATS when they also have a RZC%A > 50 and an Above Average Rushing Game Rating (this is ROF + RDE). Not impressed? Let’s put things into monetary terms–if you had wagered $110 to win back $100 on each game, you would have netted a tidy profit of $5,320 based on the results of these 3 different factors, over the past 7 seasons.

The last Primary condition for this situation involves looking at how often the current opponent of the team in question surrenders a first-down in Short-Yardage situations on 3rd and 4th down (S3C%A). This applies to all 3rd-4th down plays with 2 or less yards-to-go. When we remove all opponents that have a worse-than-average (greater than 65%) S3C%A, the record for this situation jumps to an incredible 104-37 (73.8%) ATS.

There are 3 different Secondary conditions (i.e., tighteners) that round out this situation. Secondary conditions normally exclude only a small percentage of games from the pool of NFL contests that apply. One example would be to ‘Exclude all Monday Night Games’, or, in the case of this particular situation–games in Week 17 are not included when many of the high-level teams involved are resting players as well as any games played prior to Week 4. Teams in a situation where they may be ‘looking ahead’ to playing an opponent with a winning percentage above .800 in their next game are also eliminated.

Excluding games in Week 17 makes sense for this situation, but, one needs to be careful when including too many Secondary conditions and things can get out of hand very quickly in this regard. It’s important that Secondary conditions fit into the context of the main logic, or building blocks of the situation itself. Tightening this particular situation by removing games in Week 9 only, or teams that had exactly 2 pre-season wins, are examples of out-of-context conditions that will only serve to falsely inflate the win percentage and reduce the situations potential for matching its past success in future games.

Here is the full summary for Situation #25 and all it’s related stats.

(Notes: ASMR stands for Average Spread Margin Rating. A positive rating indicates a trend that is stronger than average versus the line, negative–weaker than average. TDIS% is the percentage of teams in the league that have been involved in this situation at one time or another. WT% is the percentage of teams that are .500 or better and SPR is the average spread for teams in this situation. For more details, please consult Page 13 of my 2007 NFL Game Sheets Guide.)

Situational Trend #25 Summary (Last Updated: Jan 15th, 2008)

Primary Conditions (Building Blocks)

1) Red Zone Conversion% For Advantage (RZC%F AD) > 7.5.

2) Red Zone Conversion% Against (RZC%A) > 50.

3) Above Average Rushing Game Rating (AAVG RG).

4) Opponent S3C%A (OP S3C%A) Secondary Conditions (Tighteners)

1) Exclude Week 17 and Week 0.800.

Situation Stats

ASMR: -0.4

Home%: 50.4

Dog%: 45.0

TDIS%: 87.5

WT%: 66.1

SPR: -0.93

Top Teams: SD(20); KC(12); SEA(7); OAK(7)

Situation Records

Overall (Since ’01): 100-26 ATS

2007 Season: 11-4 ATS

2006 Season: 6-2 ATS

2005 Season: 13-2 ATS

2004 Season: 26-5 ATS

Last 3 Results. Pick in Brackets.

2007 WK19–NE 31 JAC 20 (JAC +13) W

2007 WK18–JAC 31 PIT 29 (PIT +2.5) W

2007 WK16–SD 23 DEN 3 (SD -9) W

Pick Winning Lottery Numbers – Play Pick 3 Now!

Pick winning lottery numbers is something every advent lottery player wants to do. It’s everyone’s dream to win the lottery using your own lotto strategy. But what are the odds of winning the lottery? Now to win the actual lotto you may be looking at a 1 in 324 million. Put it this way, you have a better shot of getting struck by lighting TWICE in one day then win the lottery. Your thoughts may be well someone’s gotta win and that may be just me. I use to think like that also and dump thousands and thousands of dollars a year trying to win the lotto. I used my lucky numbers over and over again but constantly failed. My friend introduced me to the pick 3 lottery using a proven system and I have never been so happy in my life.

Finally, I have stopped wasting my money in the lottery and I have started investing. My lucky pick 3 numbers have won so many times I can’t even tell you. It is the best feeling in the world watching the pick 3 numbers every night and seeing them win at least 3 times a week all thanks to a little system I developed based on UNMATCHED numbers. For those of you that don’t know what UNMATCHED numbers are let me explain. There are 3 types of combinations which can be drawn from the pick 3.

The first combination is UNMATCHED numbers. These are numbers that consist of 3 numbers in which no number repeats itself. Examples of UNMATCHED numbers include 034, 943, 901, 479, 098, etc… These are the numbers which YOU will be playing. The reason being UNMATCHED numbers account for 72% of all numbers and if played in BOX BET FORM (any combination will win regardless of order) there are only 120 COMBINATIONS. If you played the pick 3 without using UNMATCHED numbers your chances of winning are exactly 1:1000. Not very good. 1:120 is a lot better than 1:1000. Take a look at your states pick 3 drawings from last month. I guarantee you will see AT LEAST 22 out of 30 drawings resulting in UNMATCHED numbers. They occur more frequently than double and triple combinations.

Double combinations are any combinations in which 2 numbers repeat themselves. Examples include 773, 883, 909, 122, etc…Be cautious when playing double combinations as they occur roughly 5 times out of 30 a month.

Triple combinations are any combination in which ALL 3 numbers repeat themselves. These combinations include 000, 111, 222, 555, 888, 999, etc. Triple combinations occur 1 out of 99 drawings (or every 3 months). Don’t bother wasting your money with triple numbers.

In all, only play UNMATCHED numbers as you have the best chance of winning. You are defying all lottery odds of winning by playing UNMATCHED numbers. The pick 3 game is the only lottery drawing that actually gives you a logical chance of winning and doesn’t take a miracle. I absolutely wish you the best of luck and please try UNMATCHED numbers the next time you play!